A Mathematical Reality

The big story of the weekend was that Rick Santorum won Kansas, but when all was said and done, Mitt Romney still managed to win more delegates.  Of the 5 weekend contests, Mitt won 4 of them and was again awarded more total delegates than any of his rivals.

Mitt Romney continues to expand his delegate lead.  That is a big deal.  That is the bigger story.

Andrea Saul, a Romney campaign spokesperson told abc news, "Mitt Romney won more delegates than any other candidates and continued his momentum and path to getting the delegates needed to secure the nomination."

She went on to say, "In what was hyped as a big opportunity for Rick Santorum, he again fell short of making a dent in Mitt Romney's already large delegate lead.  With delegates being proportionally allocated in almost all of the upcoming states, there is just not a chance for him to catch up." (Click to read full abcnews article).

Image from mittromney.com

Obviously there are still dozens of states waiting for their primaries and 2,286 delegates are still up for grabs, but the reality is that Mitt Romney is the most likely candidate to win the needed 1144.

Fox News reported today that Romney only needs to win 48 percent of the remaining vote in order to secure the nomination.  Compare that to his rivals.  Rick Santorum needs 63 percent of the total delegates to leapfrog Romney.  Gingrich has an even bigger hurdle to overcome--he needs 71 percent of all delegates from here on out to win the nomination.

Let's be honest, what are the chances of this becoming a reality? 

We are supposed to believe that Santorum can now consistently get 63 percent and Gingrich can somehow manage to convince 71 percent of the delegates to support his candidacy? I just don't see how that is realistic.

Neither candidate seems affected by this mathematical reality and continue to brazenly declare a march to a brokered convention in August.  Brokered conventions would devastate the conservative cause, yet it is the only way either of them could actually secure the nomination.

Someone should remind them that since 1960, there have been 4 brokered conventions--in every one of these brokered conventions, the emerging nominee lost the general election.

Getty Images

Although a leapfrog is far from likely, what will Gingrich and Santorum effectively do?

The answer is not pretty.  They will effectively: 1) Continue to divide our party 2) Continue make offensive and derogatory attacks on our party's likely nominee (Over the weekend, Rick Santorum actually used the word "liar" to describe Mitt Romney)  3) Increase the devastating likelihood of a brokered convention in August  4) Allow precious fundraising dollars to be spent on a fight against rivals in our own party  5) Give the Obama campaign more time to cushion their $1 billion fund.

Not one of these effects is positive.  Not one of these effects will strengthen the conservative cause.  Furthermore, not one of these outcomes will ensure a general election win to defeat President Obama.

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It is time to stop the madness and look reality in the face.

Mitt Romney has 54 percent of the delegates and has more wins, votes, delegates, money and by far the best organization.  To date, he has also won nearly every "must-win" state -- weren't they a "must-win" for everyone?  Yes and only Mitt Romney emerged the winner.

I am tired of hearing Gingrich and Santorum complain about being outspent by the Romney campaign.  Why can't they get the money needed to adequately compete?  Last time I checked, elections are not based on socialist rules.  Elections are contests and only Mitt Romney is winning that race.

Image from nationalpost.com

Romney is a unique candidate with a remarkable skill set.  He will help our country in a way that no candidate possibly could and he has the resume to prove it.

Perhaps that is why some of the most recent Rasmussen Poll shows Romney beating Obama by 6 points.

America is getting the message...isn't time that Santorum and Gingrich start listening?